Tuesday, November 26, 2013

USA: House prices and values increase

U.S. home sales increased 13 percent in October, compared to last year, according to the latest data from RealtyTrac.  

The number of homes sold in October -- including single-family homes, condominiums and townhomes -- was two percent higher than the previous month.  

Last week, the National Association of Realtors also reported a yearly increase in home sales.  

Although home sales increased nationwide, they dropped on an annual basis for the third consecutive month in three bellwether western states: California (down 15 from a year ago), Arizona (down 13 percent) and Nevada (down 5 percent), RealtyTrac reports.

The market share of short sales dropped to 5.3 percent in October from 6.3 percent the previous month and 11.2 percent last year.   

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Daren Blomquist
"After a surge in short sales in late 2011 and early 2012, the favored disposition method for distressed properties is shifting back toward the more traditional foreclosure auction sales and bank-owned sales," Daren Blomquist,vice president at RealtyTrac, said in the report. "The combination of rapidly rising home prices -- along with strong demand from institutional investors and other cash buyers able to buy at the public foreclosure auction or an as-is REO home -- means short sales are becoming less favorable for lenders." 

The national home median sales price -- including both distressed and non-distressed sales -- was $170,000 in October, unchanged from September but 6 percent higher from last year, representing the 18th consecutive month of yearly increases.   

The markets with the largest median home price increases included Detroit (up 38 percent), San Francisco (up 32 percent), Sacramento (up 30 percent), Atlanta (up 30 percent) and Jacksonville, Fla. (up 29 percent). 

More from the report:

  • States with the highest percentage of short sales in October included Nevada (14.2 percent), Florida (13.6 percent), Maryland (8.2 percent), Michigan (6.7 percent), and Illinois (6.2 percent).
  • Foreclosure auction sales to third parties -- a new category separated out in the report for the first time in October-- represented 2.5 percent of all sales, down from 2.8 percent in the previous month but nearly twice the 1.3 percent in October 2012.
  • Markets with the highest percentage of foreclosure auction sales included Orlando (8.6 percent), Jacksonville, Fla., (8.6 percent), Columbia, S.C. (8.1 percent), Las Vegas (6.6 percent), Charlotte (6.1 percent), Miami (6.0 percent) and Tampa (5.7 percent).
  • Cash sales represented 44.2 percent of all residential sales in October, down from a revised 45.0 percent in September but up from 33.9 percent in October 2012.
  • States with percentage of cash sales above the national average included Florida (65.6 percent), Nevada (55.5 percent), Georgia (55.4 percent), South Carolina (53.9 percent), North Carolina (49.9 percent), Michigan (49.5 percent) and Ohio (49.2 percent).
  • Institutional investor purchases represented 6.8 percent of all sales in October, a sharp drop from a revised 12.1 percent in September and down from 9.7 percent a year ago.
  • Markets with the highest percentage of institutional investor purchases included Memphis (25.4 percent), Atlanta (23.0 percent), Jacksonville, Fla., (22.2 percent), Charlotte (14.5 percent) and Milwaukee (12.0 percent).
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source WorldPropertyChannel.com

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Monday, November 25, 2013

High investor confidence forecast for 2014

More than 70 percent of global investors plan to expand their portfolio within the first six months of 2014, with investor confidence forecasted to reach high marks, according to a new report from Colliers International. 

The 522 global investors surveyed for Colliers' 2014 Global Investor Sentiment Survey demonstrated increased confidence in global markets for 2014, with investor focus expected to shift.  

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Richard-Putnam
There will be an "increased [investment] volume across all property types as equity investment continues to spread to secondary markets in search of yield and loan capital continues to become more available," Richard Putnam, managing director, Western Region, Colliers International Capital Markets Group, told WPC News.  

The U.S. is the top investment destination among global investors, even as the country's economy recovers from the recent government shutdown, Colliers reports.  

Investors are also expected to target Western Europe, Brazil and gateway Asian cities, Mr. Putnam said. Investors in mature markets like the U.S., Europe and Canada tend to seek returns between five and 10 percent, but in Asia, investors are looking for returns of 20 percent or higher. 

Investors will target industrial and multi-family property for higher returns, as well as office products considered urban, creative, unique, necessity-based or high street retail, Mr. Putnam told WPC News.  

The capital source for investors consists of institutional co-mingled funds, private high-net worth family equity searching for longterm income and foreign sovereign funds.  

While investors are expected to up their investments in 2014, they also forecast obstacles. Almost half of the investors surveyed expect the cost of debt to increase next year.  

The recovery of various countries, including Spain, is also creating caution among investors, analysts say. 

"Social changes created by austerity imply risks," Mr. Putnam said. -

 Source www.worldpropertychannel.com


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Thursday, November 21, 2013

USA: Florida Q4 2013 report

Florida Boom Q4 2013 Report

Florida Q4 2013 Report
The housing market of Florida continued to grow in the third quarter of 2013. Main factors of its improvement were more closed sales, higher median prices, more pending sales and steady supply of homes for sale as compared to the same period of preceding year.
“Data from the third quarter of 2013 shows that Florida’s housing market continues to grow and gain strength,” said 2013 Florida Realtors President Dean Asher, broker-owner with Don Asher & Associates Inc. in Rolando. The housing sector is considered as essential to the economy of Florida, and many realtors in the whole state are reporting of increased activities in their respective markets.
In the third quarter of 2013, Florida’s overall closed sales of existing single-family homes was 60,661 units, up by 17.3 percent in contrast with the previous year, according to the data from Florida Realtors Industry Data and Analysis department in partnership with local Realtor boards. Generally closed sales happen 30 to 90 days after signing of the sales contract.
And for the pending sales of single-family homes, it climbed by 17.0 percent in the third quarter of 2013 as compared with figure of the prior year. Moreover third quarter median sales price for the whole of Florida was $175,000 up by 18.6 percent compared with the same period of last year.
The state-wide year-to-year comparison for sales of townhouse-condos reached a total of 27,200 units sold in the third quarter, up by 11.3 percent from similar period of last year. Pending sales for townhouse-condos in third quarter of 2013 rose to 12.4 percent in contrast with the previous year, while state-wide median price for townhouse-condos was $130,000, up by 23.8 percent over the same period of last year. Furthermore its median days on market for single-family homes and townhouse-condos were 48 days and 54 days respectively.
“What’s remarkable for the third quarter data is that all metro areas in Florida show year-over-year increases in both prices and sales for single-family homes, and year-over-year increases in sales for condo-town home properties,” says Florida Realtors Chief Economist Dr. John Tuccillo. “Inventories have begun to pick up a little bit, which may be consistent with cash sales declining as a percentage of overall sales. We’re alert to the fact that it may signal a trend, which could be good for the long-term stabilization and health of Florida’s housing market.”
It is interesting to note that the investment hotspots of Florida’s housing market are Fort Meyers, Lehigh Acres and Miami. These places have shown remarkable increase in market price, great demand and even significant reduction in number of days on market. In these three places demand for housing have outstripped supply.
USA Advantage has seen these exciting figures which show clear signs of great and sustained economic upturn for Florida most especially in Fort Myers, Lehigh Acres and Miami.
Market Figures
From the most closely watched gauges of the housing market, the recent Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller Home price Index for Miami, Florida indicated this data. For the month of June the figures which were released September 24 but were not seasonally adjusted or adjusted for inflation are shown below:
  1. Home price index, year over year change +14%
  2. Home price value since peak, -18%
From Zillow, Home Prices and Home values as follows:
  1. Home value index – $146,000, 14.8% Y-O-Y
  2. Median sale price – $166,000, 19.0% Y-O-Y

A)   Investment Benefits
By all indications, Florida’s housing market has been showing a sunny outlook for investors. Some of the few factors that Florida’s investment may give benefits to the housing investors are as follows:
  1. Amazingly lower prices – Florida’s home prices have just bottomed-up in the recent years and continuously rising going back to its previous peak price. All indications are pointing to economic recovery; thus, this would be the best time to invest in any type of property in Florida.
  2. No state tax – there is no state tax for individuals and business structures in the state of Florida; thus, this would be a great attraction for entrepreneurs.
  3. Low mortgage rate – mortgage rates are still at the lowest levels which will help housing investors to multiply its purchasing power.
  4. Purchasing incentives – these incentives are offered by the federal, state and local housing programs to help home buyers to make big purchases. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act has increased the First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit from $7,500 to $8,000 (for more details please consult your local mortgage lender about this program).
  5. Major ships’ port of call – there are major changes in the Panama Canal operation which will allow container ships to dock Florida in 2014. This will be an opportunity for the state to become a distribution centre of imports to the eastern seaboard.
  6. High population growth – long term economic and demographic forecast continue to show interesting data. Recent pronouncement by economists that Florida will become the third-most-populated state in the country, and one of the 10-fastest-growing states in the U.S. Population growth is considered as driver for the other economic developments.
Strengths
In general the housing market of Florida has been growing and continuously gaining strength in every aspects of the market. This strength is influenced by strong buyer demand together with limited supply of resale houses. This resulted in putting upward pressure on housing prices, and ultimately enhancing the vibrancy of the housing industry.
Moreover the positive momentum in the recent quarter continued to achieve more closed sales, higher median prices and a lot of pending sales which fuelled the housing market to move forward at a faster rate.
Recent data shows that Florida has lower unemployment rate as compared with the entire nation. Hence more jobs will give more stability for future growth in the state’s housing market and its general economy.
One of the most vital factors which contributes to the strength of Florida’s economy is its geographical location. It is considered as one of the top tourist destinations because of its all year-round fine weather condition. Hence this feature draws substantial number of tourist and consequently ensures higher demand for the housing sector.
Moreover Florida has the natural and health-friendly climate which attracts people who will not only stay for a week but for years. These are the retirees who are choosing Florida as their permanent residence because of its climate which comfortably fits to their lifestyle and physical condition.
Core Industry
The economic progress of the state is usually dependent on its core industries, and these industries usually drive the economic growth of the state. Some of the few major industries of the State of Florida are as follows:
  1. International Trade – this one of the biggest income generating industry of the state in which about 40% of all U.S. exports to Latin and South American countries pass through the ports of Florida.
  2. Tourism industry – there are about 90 million visitors a year that visited Florida, and is considered as one of the top travel destination in the world. The tourism industry has given to state’s economy of about $70 billion a year.
  3. Space Industry – this industry represents about $4.1 billion of the state’s economy. The average annual wage of aerospace workers is approximately $67,000. The number employed at Kennedy Space Centre (KSC) alone is 13,000 and Florida ranks 4th among the states in overall aerospace employment with 33,000 jobs.
  4. Agriculture industry – Florida’s agricultural income leads the southeast states in farm income. The state produces about 67% of the U.S. oranges and accounts for about 40% of the world’s orange juice supply.
  5. Construction industry – this industry sector’s strength is mainly due to the steady flow new residents and visitors who are welcomed to Florida every year.
  6. Services industry – this industry has shown tremendous growth in high tech, financial & back office operations.
  7. Software industry – this industry has developed many small, entrepreneurial companies.

For more details on our Florida properties please enquire at info@lydnemproperty.com